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The low pressure area inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility continues to have a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within 24 hours, PAGASA says early Monday, September 16
MANILA, Philippines – The tropical depression outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) intensified into a tropical storm near Guam at 2 am on Monday, September 16.
It was given the international name Pulasan, a name contributed by Malaysia which refers to a kind of fruit.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said in its 5 am advisory on Monday that Tropical Storm Pulasan was last spotted 2,215 kilometers east of southeastern Luzon, moving north northeast at 20 kilometers per hour (km/h).
It already has maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h and gustiness of up to 80 km/h.
“Pulasan is forecast to remain as a tropical storm throughout the forecast period. However, the possibility of further intensification is not ruled out, considering that the weather disturbance is still over the Pacific Ocean,” PAGASA said.
Pulasan is still projected to enter PAR around Tuesday evening, September 17, then exit PAR around Wednesday morning, September 18.
But PAGASA reiterated that changes are likely in the estimated times of entry and exit, depending on the tropical storm’s movement.
Once Pulasan enters, its track could be similar to that of Tropical Storm Ferdie (Bebinca), which only stayed inside PAR for several hours as it moved near the PAR northeastern boundary. Ferdie remained far from Philippine landmass, but it enhanced the southwest monsoon or habagat.
Meanwhile, the low pressure area inside PAR continues to have a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within 24 hours, PAGASA said early Monday. If it does, its local name would be Gener.
As of 3 am on Monday, the LPA was located 375 kilometers east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora, or 400 kilometers east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.
The LPA is bringing rain to the following areas:
Monday morning, September 16, to Tuesday morning, September 17
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, northern part of Aurora
Tuesday morning, September 17, to Wednesday morning, September 18
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Apayao
Wednesday morning, September 18, to Thursday morning, September 19
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Apayao
Floods and landslides are possible.
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The southwest monsoon will also continue to trigger rain on Monday. Here is PAGASA’s latest rainfall forecast as of 5 am:
Monday morning, September 16, to Tuesday morning, September 17
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): northern part of Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Aklan, Antique, Negros Occidental
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): rest of Mimaropa, rest of Western Visayas, rest of Negros Island Region
Tuesday morning, September 17, to Wednesday morning, September 18
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): northern part of Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Aklan, Antique
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, rest of Mimaropa, rest of Western Visayas, Negros Island Region
Wednesday morning, September 18, to Thursday morning, September 19
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Occidental Mindoro
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Zambales, Bataan, rest of Mimaropa, Aklan, Antique
The rest of Luzon, rest of the Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao, Soccsksargen, Caraga, and Northern Mindanao also have scattered rain and thunderstorms on Monday due to the southwest monsoon. The rain will be moderate to at times heavy.
The rest of Mindanao will have isolated rain showers or thunderstorms, still due to the southwest monsoon. Thunderstorms can be severe.
PAGASA advised the public to watch out for flash floods and landslides. – Rappler.com