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PAGASA warns the public on Friday afternoon, September 27, that rapid intensification is now ‘increasingly likely’ for Tropical Depression Julian
MANILA, Philippines – The weather bureau raised Signal No. 1 due to Tropical Depression Julian for the first time on Friday afternoon, September 27, while also warning that the tropical cyclone might rapidly strengthen and shift closer to extreme Northern Luzon in the next couple of days.
Julian was last spotted 445 kilometers east southeast of Itbayat, Batanes, or 425 kilometers east of Basco, Batanes. From being almost stationary on Friday morning, it has accelerated, moving southwest at 20 kilometers per hour (km/h).
The tropical depression still has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h and gustiness of up to 70 km/h.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Julian is still projected to “follow a looping path over the waters east of Batanes and Cagayan in the next five days.” But there is now an “increasing chance” of the tropical cyclone shifting westward, which would bring its path closer to extreme Northern Luzon.
PAGASA also warned the public that rapid intensification is now “increasingly likely.” Julian could strengthen into a tropical storm on Friday evening or Saturday morning, September 28; a severe tropical storm by early Sunday morning, September 29; and a typhoon by Sunday afternoon.
The following areas are under Signal No. 1 as of 5 pm on Friday, which means they will have strong winds from Julian:
- Babuyan Islands
- eastern part of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Gattaran, Lal-lo, Baggao, Buguey, Aparri, Santa Teresita, Camalaniugan, Peñablanca, Ballesteros)
PAGASA now expects the highest possible tropical cyclone wind signal to be Signal No. 3 or 4.
The weather bureau added that “the wind flow coming towards [Julian’s circulation] may also bring strong to gale-force gusts” to these areas:
Saturday, September 28
- Aurora, northern part of Quezon
Sunday, September 29
- Aurora, Calabarzon, Romblon, Marinduque, Bicol, Aklan, northern part of Antique
Aside from strong winds, Julian is also bringing rain. Those in Northern Luzon should be on alert for floods and landslides.
Friday afternoon, September 27, to Saturday afternoon, September 28
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 millimeters): Cagayan
Saturday afternoon, September 28, to Sunday afternoon, September 29
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan, Isabela, Batanes, Apayao, Ilocos Norte
Sunday afternoon, September 29, to Monday afternoon, September 30
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Cagayan, Batanes, Apayao, Ilocos Norte
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Isabela, rest of Cordillera Administrative Region, rest of Ilocos Region
Other areas in the country are seeing generally fair weather on Friday, with just isolated rain showers or thunderstorms that are not caused by the tropical depression.
ALSO ON RAPPLER
For coastal waters in the next 24 hours, PAGASA warned of rough seas in the seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands as well as the eastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan (waves up to 3.5 meters high). Small vessels should not venture out to sea.
Moderate seas are also seen in the remaining seaboard of Cagayan and the seaboard of Isabela (waves up to 2.5 meters high). Small vessels should take precautionary measures or avoid sailing, if possible.
Julian is the Philippines’ 10th tropical cyclone for 2024, and also the sixth tropical cyclone for September alone.
PAGASA is also monitoring a tropical cyclone outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), which intensified from a tropical depression into a tropical storm on Friday. It was given the international name Jebi.
Tropical Storm Jebi was located 2,420 kilometers east of Central Luzon on Friday afternoon, moving west northwest at 15 km/h.
It has maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h and gustiness of up to 80 km/h.
PAGASA previously said Jebi is not expected to enter PAR. – Rappler.com
