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PAGASA says Severe Tropical Storm Kristine (Trami) ‘is forecast to further intensify until it makes landfall’ in Isabela
MANILA, Philippines – The weather bureau raised Signal No. 3 due to Kristine (Trami) for the first time late Wednesday afternoon, October 23, as Kristine intensified from a tropical storm into a severe tropical storm.
Kristine now has maximum sustained winds of 95 kilometers per hour from the previous 85 km/h, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) in a briefing past 5 pm on Wednesday. Its gustiness is now up to 115 km/h from 105 km/h.
PAGASA added that Kristine “is forecast to further intensify until it makes landfall.”
The severe tropical storm was already 175 kilometers east of Echague, Isabela, as of 4 pm on Wednesday. It accelerated, moving northwest at 20 km/h from 10 km/h.
Kristine is still expected to make landfall in Isabela on Wednesday evening or early Thursday morning, October 24.
Afterwards, the severe tropical storm will cross Northern Luzon’s mountainous terrain, where it might slightly weaken, then emerge over the waters west of the Ilocos Region on Thursday morning. It could re-intensify over the West Philippine Sea.
Here are the areas under tropical cyclone wind signals as of 5 pm on Wednesday:
Signal No. 3
Storm-force winds (89 to 117 km/h), moderate to significant threat to life and property
- Isabela
- Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- central part of Abra (Malibcong, Licuan-Baay, Sallapadan, Daguioman, Bucloc, Boliney, Tubo, Luba, Manabo, Bucay, Villaviciosa, Pilar, San Isidro)
- Benguet
- Quirino
- Nueva Vizcaya
- northern and central parts of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dipaculao, Maria Aurora, Baler)
- northern part of Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Lupao, San Jose City, Pantabangan)
- Pangasinan
- La Union
- central and southern parts of Ilocos Sur (Cervantes, Quirino, Sigay, Suyo, Alilem, Sugpon, Tagudin, Santa Cruz, Salcedo, Gregorio del Pilar, San Emilio, Lidlidda, Burgos, San Esteban, Santiago, Banayoyo, Galimuyod, Candon City, Santa Lucia, Nagbukel, Santa Maria, Narvacan)
Signal No. 2
Gale-force winds (62 to 88 km/h), minor to moderate threat to life and property
- Ilocos Norte
- rest of Ilocos Sur
- Apayao
- rest of Abra
- Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
- rest of Aurora
- rest of Nueva Ecija
- Bulacan
- Tarlac
- Pampanga
- Zambales
- Bataan
- Metro Manila
- Cavite
- Laguna
- Rizal
- Quezon including Polillo Islands
- Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- Catanduanes
Signal No. 1
Strong winds (39 to 61 km/h), minimal to minor threat to life and property
- Batanes
- Batangas
- Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands
- Oriental Mindoro
- Marinduque
- Romblon
- Calamian Islands
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- Masbate including Ticao Island and Burias Island
- Aklan
- Capiz
- Antique including Caluya Islands
- Iloilo
- Guimaras
- northern part of Negros Occidental (Pontevedra, La Castellana, Moises Padilla, Bago City, La Carlota City, Valladolid, Pulupandan, Bacolod City, San Enrique, Murcia, Silay City, Talisay City, Enrique B. Magalona, Manapla, Victorias City, Cadiz City, Sagay City, Escalante City, Toboso, Calatrava, Salvador Benedicto, San Carlos City)
- northern part of Negros Oriental (Vallehermoso, Canlaon City, Guihulngan City)
- northern and central parts of Cebu (Alcantara, Argao, Dumanjug, Sibonga, Pinamungahan, Ronda, Liloan, Cebu City, Moalboal, Consolacion, Danao City, Borbon, Carmen, Daanbantayan, Tuburan, Bogo City, Tabogon, Naga City, Lapu-Lapu City, Carcar City, Mandaue City, Catmon, Minglanilla, Toledo City, Cordova, Compostela, San Remigio, Balamban, Aloguinsan, San Fernando, Asturias, Barili, Medellin, Sogod, Tabuelan, Talisay City) including Bantayan Islands and Camotes Islands
- Bohol
- Eastern Samar
- Northern Samar
- Samar
- Leyte
- Biliran
- Southern Leyte
- Dinagat Islands
- Surigao del Norte including Siargao-Bucas Grande Group
“The wind flow coming towards the circulation” of the severe tropical storm and the northeasterly windflow are also bringing strong to gale-force gusts to these areas:
Wednesday, October 23
- Mimaropa, Visayas, Mindanao
Thursday, October 24
- Mimaropa, Bicol, Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Zamboanga del Norte, Lanao del Sur, Northern Mindanao, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao Oriental
Friday, October 25
- Mimaropa, Bicol, Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, Zamboanga del Norte, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi
The rain in the devastated region of Bicol has started to ease, but heavy to torrential rain has shifted mainly to Northern Luzon and Central Luzon.
Wednesday, October 23
- Intense to torrential rain (more than 200 millimeters): Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, Aurora, Quezon
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): rest of Cagayan Valley, rest of Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Region, rest of Central Luzon, Rizal, Camarines Norte
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): rest of Calabarzon, Metro Manila, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Calamian Islands, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Western Visayas
Thursday, October 24
- Intense to torrential rain (more than 200 mm): Pangasinan, Zambales, La Union
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): rest of Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Bataan
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan Valley, Tarlac, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, Occidental Mindoro
Friday, October 25
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Pangasinan, Zambales, La Union
ALSO ON RAPPLER
In addition, there is a moderate to significant risk of “life-threatening” storm surges in Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Cagayan, Isabela, Zambales, Aurora, and Quezon in the next 48 hours.
For coastal waters in the next 24 hours, PAGASA said up to high seas are expected in the seaboards of Cagayan Valley, the Ilocos Region, and Zambales (waves up to 8 meters high); western seaboard of Bataan and seaboard of Lubang Island (waves up to 6 meters high); and western seaboards of Batangas, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, and Calamian Islands (waves up to 5.5 meters high). Travel is risky for all vessels.
Up to very rough seas are expected in the seaboards of Aurora, Polillo Islands, and Camarines Norte; northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; and northern seaboard of Camarines Sur (waves up to 4.5 meters high). Travel is likewise risky for all vessels.
Up to rough seas are seen in the seaboard of Cuyo Islands as well as western seaboards of mainland Palawan, Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, and Negros Oriental (waves up to 4 meters high); remaining seaboards of Luzon and the Visayas (waves up to 3.5 meters high); and seaboard of Dinagat Islands, Camiguin, and Zamboanga del Norte, as well as northern and western seaboards of Surigao del Norte (waves up to 3 meters high). Small vessels should not venture out to sea.
Up to moderate seas will persist in the remaining seaboards of Mindanao (waves up to 2.5 meters high). Small vessels should take precautionary measures or avoid sailing, if possible.
Kristine is the country’s 11th tropical cyclone for 2024 and the first for October. It may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Friday, October 25. – Rappler.com