PAGASA sees Super Typhoon Pepito (Man-yi) possibly making its second landfall in Aurora on Sunday afternoon, November 17
MANILA, Philippines – Super Typhoon Pepito (Man-yi) was threatening Aurora and the northern part of Quezon ahead of its expected second landfall, the weather bureau said late Sunday morning, November 17.
Pepito was located 120 kilometers east southeast of Baler, Aurora, as of 10 am on Sunday. It is moving northwest at a slightly faster 20 kilometers per hour from the previous 15 km/h.
The super typhoon maintained its strength, with maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h. Its gustiness, in contrast, eased from 255 km/h to 230 km/h.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) sees Pepito possibly making its second landfall in Aurora on Sunday afternoon. It could be downgraded to a typhoon before this occurs.
The super typhoon’s first landfall had been in Panganiban, Catanduanes, at 9:40 pm on Saturday, November 16. At the time, it had maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h, its peak intensity.
Tropical cyclone wind signals are in effect for these areas as of 11 am on Sunday:
Signal No. 5
Typhoon-force winds (185 km/h), extreme threat to life and property
- eastern part of Polillo Islands (Burdeos, Patnanungan, Jomalig)
Signal No. 4
Typhoon-force winds (118 to 184 km/h), significant to severe threat to life and property
- Aurora
- Quirino
- Nueva Vizcaya
- southern part of Ifugao (Kiangan, Lamut, Tinoc, Asipulo, Lagawe)
- southern part of Benguet (Bokod, Itogon, Tuba, Baguio City, Kabayan, La Trinidad, Sablan, Tublay, Kapangan, Atok)
- southern part of La Union (Burgos, Naguilian, Bauang, Caba, Tubao, Pugo, Aringay, Santo Tomas, Rosario, Agoo, Bagulin, San Fernando City)
- eastern part of Pangasinan (Sison, Tayug, Binalonan, San Manuel, Umingan, Asingan, San Quintin, Santa Maria, Natividad, San Nicolas, Balungao, Pozorrubio, Laoac, San Jacinto, San Fabian, Manaoag, Urdaneta City, Villasis, Rosales)
- eastern part of Nueva Ecija (General Tinio, Gabaldon, Laur, Bongabon, Palayan City, Pantabangan, Rizal, General Mamerto Natividad, Lupao, San Jose City, Llanera, Carranglan)
- northern part of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta) including the rest of Polillo Islands
- Calaguas Islands
Signal No. 3
Storm-force winds (89 to 117 km/h), moderate to significant threat to life and property
- southern part of Isabela (San Agustin, Jones, Echague, San Guillermo, Angadanan, Alicia, San Mateo, Ramon, San Isidro, Santiago City, Cordon, Dinapigue, Roxas, San Manuel, Aurora, Cabatuan, Cauayan City, Luna)
- rest of Ifugao
- Mountain Province
- southern part of Abra (Tubo, Luba, Pilar, Villaviciosa, San Isidro, Pidigan, Langiden, San Quintin)
- Ilocos Sur
- rest of Benguet
- rest of La Union
- rest of Pangasinan
- northern part of Zambales (Santa Cruz, Candelaria, Masinloc, Palauig)
- Tarlac
- rest of Nueva Ecija
- northern part of Pampanga (Candaba, Arayat, Magalang, San Luis, San Simon, Mexico, Santa Ana, Apalit, Santo Tomas, San Fernando City, Mabalacat City, Angeles City)
- northern part of Bulacan (Norzagaray, San Miguel, San Ildefonso, San Rafael, Doña Remedios Trinidad, Angat, San Jose del Monte City, Santa Maria, Pandi, Baliuag, Bustos, Pulilan, Plaridel)
- northern part of Rizal (Pililla, Tanay, Antipolo City, Rodriguez, Baras, San Mateo, Morong, Teresa)
- eastern part of Laguna (Santa Maria, Famy, Mabitac, Pakil, Pangil, Siniloan, Paete, Kalayaan, Lumban, Cavinti)
- central and eastern parts of Quezon (Real, Perez, Calauag, Alabat, Quezon, Mauban, Sampaloc)
- western part of Camarines Norte (Santa Elena, Labo, Capalonga, Paracale, Vinzons, San Vicente, Talisay, Daet, Jose Panganiban)
Signal No. 2
Gale-force winds (62 to 88 km/h), minor to moderate threat to life and property
- rest of Isabela
- southwestern part of mainland Cagayan (Enrile, Tuao, Solana, Tuguegarao City, Piat, Rizal)
- Kalinga
- southern part of Apayao (Conner, Kabugao)
- rest of Abra
- Ilocos Norte
- rest of Zambales
- Bataan
- rest of Pampanga
- rest of Bulacan
- Metro Manila
- rest of Rizal
- Cavite
- rest of Laguna
- rest of Quezon
- rest of Camarines Norte
- Camarines Sur
- western part of Catanduanes (Pandan, Caramoran, San Andres)
Signal No. 1
Strong winds (39 to 61 km/h), minimal to minor threat to life and property
- rest of mainland Cagayan
- rest of Apayao
- Batangas
- northern part of Occidental Mindoro (Abra de Ilog, Paluan) including Lubang Islands
- northern part of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Naujan, Baco, Victoria, Socorro, Pinamalayan, Gloria, Pola, Calapan City)
- northern part of Romblon (Cajidiocan, San Fernando, Magdiwang, Romblon, Banton, Corcuera, Concepcion, San Andres, Calatrava, San Agustin)
- Marinduque
- northern part of Masbate (Masbate City, Mobo, Aroroy, Baleno) including Burias Island and Ticao Island
- Albay
- Sorsogon
- rest of Catanduanes
Meanwhile, from Sunday noon to Monday noon, November 18, rain from Pepito will persist in parts of Luzon. It will be worst in Quezon and Aurora as well as parts of Northern Luzon. All affected areas must be on alert for floods and landslides.
- Intense to torrential rain (more than 200 millimeters): Quezon, Aurora, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, Ifugao, Pangasinan, Ilocos Sur
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Camarines Norte, Isabela, Mountain Province, Kalinga, Abra, Nueva Ecija, La Union, Bulacan, Rizal
- Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Metro Manila, Bataan, Zambales, Tarlac, Pampanga, Laguna
In addition, there is a high risk of “life-threatening” storm surges “with peak surge heights exceeding 3 meters” in the Ilocos Region (western coast), Isabela, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Marinduque, and Bicol within 48 hours. View the map below, and check the list of specific cities and municipalities here.
After its potential landfall in Aurora on Sunday afternoon, Pepito is expected to cross the northern part of Central Luzon and the southern part of Northern Luzon “via the upland regions of the Sierra Madre, Caraballo, and Cordillera Central” mountain ranges between Sunday afternoon and evening.
When Pepito crosses mainland Luzon, “significant weakening will occur,” according to PAGASA, but it is still likely to be of typhoon strength.
Afterwards, Pepito will exit the landmass of Luzon on Sunday evening and head for the West Philippine Sea, where it could further weaken “due to the incoming northeasterly wind surge.”
Pepito may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Monday morning or noon.
PAGASA maintained its outlook for coastal waters in the next 24 hours. The weather bureau also reiterated that wave heights in affected seaboards are “not related to storm surge heights or inundation.”
Up to very rough, high, or very high seas (travel is risky for all vessels)
- Northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands; seaboard of Aurora – waves up to 14 meters high
- Seaboard of Camarines Norte – waves up to 12 meters high
- Seaboard of northern Quezon – waves up to 9 meters high
- Seaboard of Isabela – waves up to 8 meters high
- Northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; northern seaboard of Camarines Sur – waves up to 7 meters high
- Eastern seaboards of mainland Cagayan, Camarines Sur, and Albay; remaining seaboards of Polillo Islands and Catanduanes – waves up to 5 meters high
- Seaboards of Sorsogon and Northern Samar; eastern seaboard of Eastern Samar; remaining seaboards of Camarines Sur, Albay, and Quezon; seaboards of Ilocos Region, Masbate including Burias Island and Ticao Island, and Marinduque – waves up to 4.5 meters high
Up to rough seas (small vessels should not venture out to sea)
- Seaboards of Batanes, northern Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, and Zambales – waves up to 4 meters high
- Seaboards of Romblon; remaining seaboards of Zambales; eastern seaboard of Oriental Mindoro – waves up to 3 meters high
Up to moderate seas (small vessels should take precautionary measures or avoid sailing, if possible)
- Western seaboard of Bataan; eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands – waves up to 2.5 meters high
- Seaboards of Metro Manila, Aklan, Antique, northeastern Iloilo, northern Negros Occidental, and northern Cebu including Bantayan Islands, and Biliran; northern and eastern seaboards of Leyte; eastern seaboards of Southern Leyte, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental; northern and western seaboards of Dinagat Islands; remaining seaboards of Bataan and Calabarzon; northern seaboards of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands and Oriental Mindoro – waves up to 2 meters high
Pepito is the Philippines’ 16th tropical cyclone for 2024. It is also the fourth tropical cyclone for November alone, after Marce (Yinxing), Nika (Toraji), and Ofel (Usagi).
Counting from October 21 to present — starting with Kristine (Trami) and Leon (Kong-rey) — Pepito is already the country’s sixth tropical cyclone in less than a month. – Rappler.com
